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Rail Transport in New Zealand - Market Research Report (2014-2029)

Jack Fahey Jack Fahey Melbourne, Australia Last Updated: January 2024 ANZSIC I4700NZ

Revenue

$528.4m

2024-25

$545.0m

Past 5-Year Growth

Profit

$XX.Xm

Employees

4,608

Businesses

3

Wages

$XXX.Xm

Rail Transport in New Zealand industry analysis

Rail transport revenue is expected to fall at a compound annual rate of 1.2% over the five years through 2023-24, to $528.4 million. Rail freight plays an important role in transporting bulk goods across the country and to and from New Zealand ports. However, the industry's capacity has struggled to account for a larger share of the country's freight task, which was accelerated by the COVID-19 outbreak, which temporarily restricted the transport of certain goods, including forestry products. However, a strong rebound in freight volumes and a surge in rail freight prices, driven by a sharp increase in import and export activity volume in New Zealand, has generated a partial recovery in industry-wide revenue. Yet, this trend has been offset by the effects of COVID-19 on passenger volumes in the commuter rail segment of the industry and subsequent disruptions because of maintenance works. In 2023-24, a sharp drop in rail freight prices combined with continued disruptions to the Auckland rail network are expected to drive a revenue decline of 8.1%. 

Trends and Insights

  • The New Zealand Government has ramped up spending on rail infrastructure over the past decade. After decades of underinvestment, these investments have disrupted revenue through closures and maintenance, but it will set up the industry for future growth.
  • Work-from-home trends have dampened rail transport passenger numbers. Even though COVID-19 restrictions have eased, more people have adopted remote-working arrangements for its convenience and cost savings, dulling revenue from urban weekday peak and off-peak services.
  • New Zealand's commuter rail network is only in two regions. Auckland and Wellington are the only two regions in New Zealand to have their own rail networks.
  • Rail transport providers tend to operate in geographically isolated markets. Since providers usually hold a regional monopoly, internal industry competition is limited.

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  • Market estimates from 2014-2029
  • Critical performance data and rankings
  • Detailed analysis of competitive forces and the external environment
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Industry Statistics and Trends

Market size and recent performance (2014-2029)

Industry revenue has declined at a CAGR of 1.2 % over the past five years, to reach an estimated $528.4m in 2024.

Trends and Insights

The industry's structure entrenches high levels of market share concentration

  • KiwiRail, a for-profit government entity, operates New Zealand's rail network and contributes over 85% of the industry's revenue.
  • Additional trends and insights available with purchase
Rail Transport in New Zealand
Revenue (2014-2029)
IBISWorld Logo Source: IBISWorld

Industry outlook (2024-2029)

Market size is projected to grow over the next five years.

Trends and Insights

Investment into New Zealand's rail capacity is a key plank in New Zealand's environmental strategies

  • KiwiRail will continue to invest in developing the capacity of the national rail network, both replacing aging track infrastructure and developing capacity to transport increased volumes of freight through New Zealand’s rail network. Rail freight in New Zealand is important for transporting bulk goods, contributing approximately $1.5 billion to the national economy every year.

Biggest companies in the Rail Transport in New Zealand

Company
Market Share (%)
2024
Revenue ($m)
2024
Kiwirail
449.8
Greater Wellington Regional Council
54.8
Auckland Council
23.8

To view the market share and analysis for all 3 top companies in this industry, view purchase options.

Products & Services Segmentation

Rail Transport in New Zealand
Products & Services
IBISWorld Logo Source: IBISWorld

Industry revenue is measured across several distinct product and services lines, including Domestic freight transport, Import and export freight transport and Rail passenger transport. Domestic freight transport is the largest segment of the Rail Transport in New Zealand.

Trends and Insights

Domestic freight transport continues to prove pivotal to the industry

  • The rail freight industry predominantly earns its revenue through domestic freight services, including the transport of commodities and forestry products.
  • More insights available in the full report

Table of Contents

About this industry

Industry definition

Industry operators provide freight and passenger rail transport. This excludes railway terminal operation, tramway transport and private railroads used internally by companies.

What's included in this industry?

Domestic freight transportImport and export freight transportRail passenger transport

Companies

KiwirailGreater Wellington Regional CouncilAuckland Council

Purchase this report to view all 3 major companies in this industry.

Related Terms

ROLLING STOCKMULTIMODAL TRANSPORTCOMMUTER RAIL

Industry Code

ANZSIC 2006

ANZSIC 4710 - Rail Transport in New Zealand

Performance

Get an indication of the industry's health through historical, current and forward-looking trends in the performance indicators that make or break businesses.

Analyst insights

The New Zealand Government has ramped up spending on rail infrastructure over the past decade. After decades of underinvestment, these investments have disrupted revenue thro...

In this chapter (4)

  • Current Performance
  • Outlook
  • Volatility
  • Life Cycle

Key metrics

  • Annual Revenue, Recent Growth, Forecast, Revenue Volatility
  • Number of Employees, Recent Growth, Forecast, Employees per Business, Revenue per Employee
  • Number of Businesses, Recent Growth, Forecast, Employees per Business, Revenue per Business
  • Total Profit, Profit Margin, Profit per Business

Charts

  • Revenue, including historical (2014-2023) and forecast (2024-2029)
  • Employees, including historical (2014-2023) and forecast (2024-2029)
  • Businesses, including historical (2014-2023) and forecast (2024-2029)
  • Profit, including historical (2014-2024)
  • Industry Volatility vs. Revenue Growth
  • Industry Life Cycle

Detailed analysis

  • Trends in supply, demand and current events that are driving current industry performance
  • Expected trends, economic factors and ongoing events that drive the industry's outlook
  • Key success factors for businesses to overcome volatility
  • How contribution to GDP, industry saturation, innovation, consolidation, and technology and systems influence the industry's life cycle phase.

Products and Markets

Learn about an industry's products and services, markets and trends in international trade.

Analyst insight

Work-from-home trends have dampened rail transport passenger numbers. Even though COVID-19 restrictions have eased, more people have adopted remote-working arrangements for i...

In this chapter

  • Products & Services
  • Major Markets

Key metrics

  • Largest market segment and value in 2024
  • Product innovation level

Charts

  • Products & services segmentation in 2024
  • Major market segmentation in 2024

Detailed analysis

  • Trends impacting the recent performance of the industry's various segments
  • Innovations in the industry's product or service offering, specialization or delivery method
  • Key factors that successful businesses consider in their offerings
  • Buying segments and key trends influencing demand for industry products and services

Geographic Breakdown

Discover where business activity is most concentrated in an industry and the factors driving these trends to find opportunities and conduct regional benchmarking.

Analyst insights

New Zealand's commuter rail network is only in two regions. Auckland and Wellington are the only two regions in New Zealand to have their own rail networks.

In this chapter (1)

  • Business Locations

Charts

  • Share of revenue, establishment, wages and employment in each region
  • Share of population compared to establishments in each region in 2024

Tables

  • Number and share of establishments in each region in 2024
  • Number and share of revenue each region accounts for in 2024
  • Number and share of wages each region accounts for in 2024
  • Number and share of employees in each region in 2024

Detailed analysis

  • Geographic spread of the industry across Asia Pacific, and trends associated with changes in the business landscape
  • Key success factors for businesses to use location to their advantage

Competitive Forces

Get data and insights on what's driving competition in an industry and the challenges industry operators and new entrants may face, with analysis built around Porter's Five Forces framework.

Analyst insights

Rail transport providers tend to operate in geographically isolated markets. Since providers usually hold a regional monopoly, internal industry competition is limited.

In this chapter (4)

  • Concentration
  • Barriers to Entry
  • Substitutes
  • Buyer & Supplier Analysis

Key metrics

  • Industry concentration level
  • Industry competition level and trend
  • Barriers to entry level and trend
  • Substitutes level and trend
  • Buyer power level and trend
  • Supplier power level and trend

Charts

  • Market share concentration among the top 4 suppliers from 2019-2024
  • Supply chain including upstream supplying industries and downstream buying industries, flow chart

Detailed analysis

  • Factors impacting the industry’s level of concentration, such as business distribution, new entrants, or merger and acquisition activity.
  • Key success factors for businesses to manage the competitive environment of the industry.
  • Challenges that potential industry entrants face such as legal, start-up costs, differentiation, labor/capital intensity and capital expenses.
  • Key success factors for potential entrants to overcome barriers to entry.
  • Competitive threats from potential substitutes for the industry’s own products and services.
  • Key success factors for how successful businesses can compete with substitutes.
  • Advantages that buyers have to keep favorable purchasing conditions.
  • Advantages that suppliers have to maintain favorable selling conditions.
  • Key success factors for how businesses can navigate buyer and supplier power.

Companies

Learn about the performance of the top companies in the industry.

Analyst insights

The industry is dominated by government-owned entities. KiwiRail dominates commercial rail freight, and only Auckland and Wellington have regional commuter rail operations. O...

In this chapter

  • Market Share Concentration
  • Companies
  • Company Spotlights

Charts

  • Industry market share by company in 2020 through 2024
  • Major companies in the industry, including market share, revenue, profit and profit margin in 2024
  • Overview of Kiwirail's performance by revenue, market share and profit margin from 2018 through 2024
  • Overview of Greater Wellington Regional Council's performance by revenue, market share and profit margin from 2018 through 2024
  • Overview of Auckland Council's performance by revenue, market share and profit margin from 2018 through 2024

Detailed analysis

  • Description and key data for Kiwirail, and factors influencing its performance in the industry
  • Description and key data for Greater Wellington Regional Council, and factors influencing its performance in the industry
  • Description and key data for Auckland Council, and factors influencing its performance in the industry

External Environment

Understand the demographic, economic and regulatory factors that shape how businesses in an industry perform.   

Analyst insights

The industry is wholly owned and regulated by the New Zealand Government. The NZ Transport Agency, a government entity, regulates New Zealand's railways, stipulating minimum ...

In this chapter

  • External Drivers
  • Regulation & Policy
  • Assistance

Key metrics

  • Regulation & policy level and trend
  • Assistance level and trend

Charts

  • Regulation & Policy historical data and forecast (2014-2029) 
  • Assistance historical data and forecast (2014-2029) 

Detailed analysis

  • Demographic and macroeconomic factors influencing the industry, including Regulation & Policy and Assistance
  • Major types of regulations, regulatory bodies, industry standards or specific regulations impacting requirements for industry operators
  • Key governmental and non-governmental groups or policies that may provide some relief for industry operators.

Financial Benchmarks

View average costs for industry operators and compare financial data against an industry's financial benchmarks over time. 

Analyst insights

The Rail Transport industry is dominated by KiwiRail, which has over 80% of the industry's market share. Consequently, the industry's cost structure largely reflects the cost...

In this chapter

  • Cost Structure
  • Financial Ratios
  • Key Ratios

Key metrics

  • Profit margin, and how it compares to the sector-wide margin
  • Average wages, and how it compares to the sector-wide average wage
  • Largest cost component as a percentage of revenue
  • Industry average ratios for days' receivables, industry coverage and debt-to-net-worth ratio

Charts

  • Average industry operating costs as a share of revenue, including purchases, wages, depreciation, utilities, rent, other costs and profit in 2024
  • Average sector operating costs as a share of revenue, including purchases, wages, depreciation, utilities, rent, other costs and profit in 2024
  • Investment vs. share of economy

Data tables

  • Cash Flow & Debt Service Ratios (2014-2029)
  • Revenue per Employee (2014-2029)
  • Revenue per Enterprise (2014-2029)
  • Employees per Establishment (2014-2029)
  • Employees per Enterprise (2014-2029)
  • Average Wage (2014-2029)
  • Wages/Revenue (2014-2029)
  • Establishments per Enterprise (2014-2029)
  • IVA/Revenue (2014-2029)
  • Imports/Demand (2014-2029)
  • Exports/Revenue (2014-2029)

Detailed analysis

  • Trends in the cost component for industry operators and their impact on industry costs and profitability 

Key Statistics

Industry Data

Data Tables

Including values and annual change:

  • Revenue (2014-2029)
  • IVA (2014-2029)
  • Establishments (2014-2029)
  • Enterprises (2014-2029)
  • Employment (2014-2029)
  • Exports (2014-2029)
  • Imports (2014-2029)
  • Wages (2014-2029)

Top Questions Answered

Unlock comprehensive answers and precise data upon purchase. View purchase options.

What is the market size of the Rail Transport industry in New Zealand in 2024?

The market size of the Rail Transport industry in New Zealand is $528.4m in 2024.

How many businesses are there in the Rail Transport in New Zealand industry in 2024?

There are 3 businesses in the Rail Transport industry in New Zealand, which has declined at a CAGR of 0.0 % between 2019 and 2024.

Has the Rail Transport industry in New Zealand grown or declined over the past 5 years?

The market size of the Rail Transport industry in New Zealand has been declining at a CAGR of 1.2 % between 2019 and 2024.

What is the forecast growth of the Rail Transport industry in New Zealand over the next 5 years?

Over the next five years, the Rail Transport industry in New Zealand is expected to grow.

What are the biggest companies in the Rail Transport market in New Zealand?

The biggest companies operating in the Rail Transport market in New Zealand are Kiwirail, Greater Wellington Regional Council and Auckland Council

What does the Rail Transport in New Zealand include?

Domestic freight transport and Import and export freight transport are part of the Rail Transport industry.

Which companies have the highest market share in the Rail Transport in New Zealand?

The company holding the most market share in New Zealand is Kiwirail.

How competitive is the Rail Transport industry in New Zealand?

The level of competition is low and increasing in the Rail Transport industry in New Zealand.

Related Industries

Widen your competitive advantage with related industries

Competitors

  • Road Freight Transport in New Zealand
  • Bus Transport in New Zealand
  • Water Freight Transport in New Zealand
  • Water Passenger Transport in New Zealand

Complementors

  • There are no industries to display.

International industries

  • Public Transportation in the US
  • Shortline Railroad Operation in the US
  • Rail Transportation in Canada
  • Public Transportation in Canada
  • Rail Freight Transport in Australia

View all industries in New Zealand

Methodology

How are IBISWorld reports created?

IBISWorld has been a leading provider of trusted industry research for over 50 years to the most successful companies worldwide. With offices in Australia, the United States, the United Kingdom, Germany and China, we are proud to have local teams of analysts that conduct research, data analysis and forecasting to produce data-driven industry reports.

Our analysts start with official, verified and publicly available sources of data to build the most accurate picture of each industry. Analysts then leverage their expertise and knowledge of the local markets to synthesize trends into digestible content for IBISWorld readers. Finally, each report is reviewed by one of IBISWorld’s editors, who provide quality assurance to ensure accuracy and readability.

IBISWorld relies on human-verified data and human-written analysis to compile each standard industry report. We do not use generative AI tools to write insights, although members can choose to leverage AI-based tools within the platform to generate additional analysis formats.

What data sources do IBISWorld analysts use?

Each industry report incorporates data and research from government databases, industry-specific sources, industry contacts, and our own proprietary database of statistics and analysis to provide balanced, independent and accurate insights.

Key data sources in New Zealand include:

  • Statistics New Zealand
  • New Zealand Company Register
  • Ministry of Business, Innovation & Employment

Analysts also use industry specific sources to complement catch-all sources, although their perspective may focus on a particular organization or representative body, rather than a clear overview of all industry operations. However, when balanced against other perspectives, industry-specific sources provide insights into industry trends.

These sources include:

  • Industry and trade associations
  • Industry federations or regulators
  • Major industry players annual or quarterly filings

Finally, IBISWorld’s global data scientists maintain a proprietary database of macroeconomic and demand drivers, which our analysts use to help inform industry data and trends. They also maintain a database of statistics and analysis on thousands of industries, which has been built over our more than 50-year history and offers comprehensive insights into long-term trends.

How does IBISWorld forecast its data?

IBISWorld’s analysts and data scientists use the sources above to create forecasts for our proprietary datasets and industry statistics. Depending on the dataset, they may use regression analysis, multivariate analysis, time-series analysis or exponential smoothing techniques to project future data for the industry or driver. Additionally, analysts will leverage their local knowledge of industry operating and regulatory conditions to impart their best judgment on the forecast model.

IBISWorld prides itself on being a trusted, independent source of data, with over 50 years of experience building and maintaining rich datasets and forecasting tools. We are proud to be the keystone source of industry information for thousands of companies across the world.

Learn more about our methodology and data sourcing on the Help Center.