Mobile Menu

Bread Production in New Zealand - Market Research Report (2014-2029)

Jayson Cooke Jayson Cooke Melbourne, Australia Last Updated: July 2024 ANZSIC C1171NZ

Revenue

$839.2m

2024-25

$839.2m

Past 5-Year Growth

Profit

$XX.Xm

Employees

4,660

Businesses

104

Wages

$XXX.Xm

Bread Production in New Zealand industry analysis

The industry has grappled with numerous challenges over the past five years, from cost pressures to competition. Supermarkets, the industry's largest downstream market, have increasingly invested in instore bakeries, which has led to a steep climb in substitutive competition. Growing sales from specialty artisan bakers and hot bread shops have also challenged industry bread producers, and high wheat prices over the past five years have strained their purchase costs. Many consumers have shifted towards unpackaged, freshly baked bread – like sourdough and rye bread – instead of traditional packaged white bread loaves. Producers who have pivoted to cater to evolving consumer preferences have been able to stay competitive. Industry revenue is expected to have fallen at an annualised 4.0% over the five years through 2024-25, to $839.2 million. This includes a dip of 1.7% in 2024-25.

Trends and Insights

  • Substitute competition and high wheat prices have significantly challenged the industry. Bread producers have introduced new offerings that cater to changing consumer preferences to better compete with rival fresh bakers and instore supermarket bakeries.
  • Supermarkets’ investment in instore bakeries and private-label bread products has challenged industry bread producers. However, consumers’ growing preference for convenience and one-stop shopping has climbed supermarkets' downstream share of industry revenue.
  • Bread manufacturing establishments tend to be located in New Zealand's main population centres. Auckland, Canterbury and Wellington regions’ dense populations support this geographic skew.
  • Bread producers compete based on price, branding and product differentiation. Price has become an increasingly crucial factor due to frequent discounting among major supermarket retailers and private-label breads’ ongoing popularity.

Access hundreds of analysis and data

  • Market estimates from 2014-2029
  • Critical performance data and rankings
  • Detailed analysis of competitive forces and the external environment
  • PDF report or online database with Word, Excel and PowerPoint export options
  • 100% money back guarantee

Industry Statistics and Trends

Market size and recent performance (2014-2029)

Industry revenue has declined at a CAGR of 4.0 % over the past five years, to reach an estimated $839.2m in 2024.

Trends and Insights

Rising health awareness has driven demand for healthier, more premium bread, altering industry workforce dynamics

  • Bread manufacturers have increasingly introduced new, higher-value products in response to consumers’ heightened preference for nutritious, healthier bread.
  • Additional trends and insights available with purchase
Bread Production in New Zealand
Revenue (2014-2029)
IBISWorld Logo Source: IBISWorld

Industry outlook (2024-2029)

Market size is projected to grow over the next five years.

Trends and Insights

Export markets and the food-service industries will become focal points for bread producers

  • The industry's growth in the coming years will hinge on bread producers’ ability to reclaim market share from external rivals, including instore supermarket bakeries, artisan bakeries and hot bread shops.

Biggest companies in the Bread Production in New Zealand

Company
Market Share (%)
2025
Revenue ($m)
2025
Goodman Fielder
351.7
Allied Foods (NZ)
258.3
Yarrows (The Bakers) Limited
31.7

To view the market share and analysis for all 3 top companies in this industry, view purchase options.

Products & Services Segmentation

Bread Production in New Zealand
Products & Services
IBISWorld Logo Source: IBISWorld

Industry revenue is measured across several distinct product and services lines, including White bread and rolls, Other bread and rolls and Flat and savoury breads. White bread and rolls is the largest segment of the Bread Production in New Zealand.

Trends and Insights

Evolving consumer preferences have prompted manufacturers to expand their range of flat and savoury breads

  • Flatbreads include leavened breads like pita bread and unleavened breads like mountain bread. This segment also includes wraps, focaccia, naan and garlic bread.
  • More insights available in the full report

Table of Contents

About this industry

Industry definition

Companies in the industry are mainly engaged in manufacturing leavened and unleavened bread from factory premises. Companies that produce bread dough (fresh or frozen), breadcrumbs or par-baked bread are also included.

What's included in this industry?

White bread and rollsOther bread and rollsFlat and savoury breadsMuffins, crumpets and sweet breadsFresh and frozen bread doughPar-baked and flash-baked productsBreadcrumbs

Companies

Goodman FielderAllied Foods (NZ)Yarrows (The Bakers) Limited

Purchase this report to view all 3 major companies in this industry.

Related Terms

FORTIFIED BREADGLUTENARTISAN BREAD

Industry Code

ANZSIC 2006

ANZSIC 1171 - Bread Production in New Zealand

Performance

Get an indication of the industry's health through historical, current and forward-looking trends in the performance indicators that make or break businesses.

Analyst insights

Substitute competition and high wheat prices have significantly challenged the industry. Bread producers have introduced new offerings that cater to changing consumer prefere...

In this chapter (4)

  • Current Performance
  • Outlook
  • Volatility
  • Life Cycle

Key metrics

  • Annual Revenue, Recent Growth, Forecast, Revenue Volatility
  • Number of Employees, Recent Growth, Forecast, Employees per Business, Revenue per Employee
  • Number of Businesses, Recent Growth, Forecast, Employees per Business, Revenue per Business
  • Total Profit, Profit Margin, Profit per Business

Charts

  • Revenue, including historical (2014-2023) and forecast (2024-2029)
  • Employees, including historical (2014-2023) and forecast (2024-2029)
  • Businesses, including historical (2014-2023) and forecast (2024-2029)
  • Profit, including historical (2014-2024)
  • Industry Volatility vs. Revenue Growth
  • Industry Life Cycle

Detailed analysis

  • Trends in supply, demand and current events that are driving current industry performance
  • Expected trends, economic factors and ongoing events that drive the industry's outlook
  • Key success factors for businesses to overcome volatility
  • How contribution to GDP, industry saturation, innovation, consolidation, and technology and systems influence the industry's life cycle phase.

Products and Markets

Learn about an industry's products and services, markets and trends in international trade.

Analyst insight

Supermarkets’ investment in instore bakeries and private-label bread products has challenged industry bread producers. However, consumers’ growing preference for convenience ...

In this chapter

  • Products & Services
  • Major Markets
  • International Trade

Key metrics

  • Largest market segment and value in 2024
  • Product innovation level
  • Total imports, level and trend
  • Total exports, level and trend
  • Trade Balance

Charts

  • Products & services segmentation in 2024
  • Major market segmentation in 2024
  • International trade, including imports by country and exports by country

Detailed analysis

  • Trends impacting the recent performance of the industry's various segments
  • Innovations in the industry's product or service offering, specialization or delivery method
  • Key factors that successful businesses consider in their offerings
  • Buying segments and key trends influencing demand for industry products and services
  • Recent trends in import and export volumes, country of origin or destination, and expected future trends

Geographic Breakdown

Discover where business activity is most concentrated in an industry and the factors driving these trends to find opportunities and conduct regional benchmarking.

Analyst insights

Bread manufacturing establishments tend to be located in New Zealand's main population centres. Auckland, Canterbury and Wellington regions’ dense populations support this ge...

In this chapter (1)

  • Business Locations

Charts

  • Share of revenue, establishment, wages and employment in each region
  • Share of population compared to establishments in each region in 2024

Tables

  • Number and share of establishments in each region in 2024
  • Number and share of revenue each region accounts for in 2024
  • Number and share of wages each region accounts for in 2024
  • Number and share of employees in each region in 2024

Detailed analysis

  • Geographic spread of the industry across Asia Pacific, and trends associated with changes in the business landscape
  • Key success factors for businesses to use location to their advantage

Competitive Forces

Get data and insights on what's driving competition in an industry and the challenges industry operators and new entrants may face, with analysis built around Porter's Five Forces framework.

Analyst insights

Bread producers compete based on price, branding and product differentiation. Price has become an increasingly crucial factor due to frequent discounting among major supermar...

In this chapter (4)

  • Concentration
  • Barriers to Entry
  • Substitutes
  • Buyer & Supplier Analysis

Key metrics

  • Industry concentration level
  • Industry competition level and trend
  • Barriers to entry level and trend
  • Substitutes level and trend
  • Buyer power level and trend
  • Supplier power level and trend

Charts

  • Market share concentration among the top 4 suppliers from 2019-2024
  • Supply chain including upstream supplying industries and downstream buying industries, flow chart

Detailed analysis

  • Factors impacting the industry’s level of concentration, such as business distribution, new entrants, or merger and acquisition activity.
  • Key success factors for businesses to manage the competitive environment of the industry.
  • Challenges that potential industry entrants face such as legal, start-up costs, differentiation, labor/capital intensity and capital expenses.
  • Key success factors for potential entrants to overcome barriers to entry.
  • Competitive threats from potential substitutes for the industry’s own products and services.
  • Key success factors for how successful businesses can compete with substitutes.
  • Advantages that buyers have to keep favorable purchasing conditions.
  • Advantages that suppliers have to maintain favorable selling conditions.
  • Key success factors for how businesses can navigate buyer and supplier power.

Companies

Learn about the performance of the top companies in the industry.

Analyst insights

The Bread Production industry comprises two large bread manufacturers, and many smaller bread manufacturers. The industry doesn’t include hot bread shops and franchised baker...

In this chapter

  • Market Share Concentration
  • Companies
  • Company Spotlights

Charts

  • Industry market share by company in 2020 through 2024
  • Major companies in the industry, including market share, revenue, profit and profit margin in 2024
  • Overview of Goodman Fielder's performance by revenue, market share and profit margin from 2018 through 2024
  • Overview of Allied Foods (NZ)'s performance by revenue, market share and profit margin from 2018 through 2024
  • Overview of Yarrows (The Bakers) Limited's performance by revenue, market share and profit margin from 2018 through 2024

Detailed analysis

  • Description and key data for Goodman Fielder, and factors influencing its performance in the industry
  • Description and key data for Allied Foods (NZ), and factors influencing its performance in the industry
  • Description and key data for Yarrows (The Bakers) Limited, and factors influencing its performance in the industry

External Environment

Understand the demographic, economic and regulatory factors that shape how businesses in an industry perform.   

Analyst insights

Bread manufacturers must adhere to various food and health safety regulations. These regulations are aimed at ensuring manufacturers produce safe, suitable food for public co...

In this chapter

  • External Drivers
  • Regulation & Policy
  • Assistance

Key metrics

  • Regulation & policy level and trend
  • Assistance level and trend

Charts

  • Regulation & Policy historical data and forecast (2014-2029) 
  • Assistance historical data and forecast (2014-2029) 

Detailed analysis

  • Demographic and macroeconomic factors influencing the industry, including Regulation & Policy and Assistance
  • Major types of regulations, regulatory bodies, industry standards or specific regulations impacting requirements for industry operators
  • Key governmental and non-governmental groups or policies that may provide some relief for industry operators.

Financial Benchmarks

View average costs for industry operators and compare financial data against an industry's financial benchmarks over time. 

Analyst insights

Industry profitability has risen as bread manufacturers have increasingly produced high-margin, premium products like artisan and mixed-grain bread, for which consumers are wi...

In this chapter

  • Cost Structure
  • Financial Ratios
  • Key Ratios

Key metrics

  • Profit margin, and how it compares to the sector-wide margin
  • Average wages, and how it compares to the sector-wide average wage
  • Largest cost component as a percentage of revenue
  • Industry average ratios for days' receivables, industry coverage and debt-to-net-worth ratio

Charts

  • Average industry operating costs as a share of revenue, including purchases, wages, depreciation, utilities, rent, other costs and profit in 2024
  • Average sector operating costs as a share of revenue, including purchases, wages, depreciation, utilities, rent, other costs and profit in 2024
  • Investment vs. share of economy

Data tables

  • Cash Flow & Debt Service Ratios (2014-2029)
  • Revenue per Employee (2014-2029)
  • Revenue per Enterprise (2014-2029)
  • Employees per Establishment (2014-2029)
  • Employees per Enterprise (2014-2029)
  • Average Wage (2014-2029)
  • Wages/Revenue (2014-2029)
  • Establishments per Enterprise (2014-2029)
  • IVA/Revenue (2014-2029)
  • Imports/Demand (2014-2029)
  • Exports/Revenue (2014-2029)

Detailed analysis

  • Trends in the cost component for industry operators and their impact on industry costs and profitability 

Key Statistics

Industry Data

Data Tables

Including values and annual change:

  • Revenue (2014-2029)
  • IVA (2014-2029)
  • Establishments (2014-2029)
  • Enterprises (2014-2029)
  • Employment (2014-2029)
  • Exports (2014-2029)
  • Imports (2014-2029)
  • Wages (2014-2029)

Top Questions Answered

Unlock comprehensive answers and precise data upon purchase. View purchase options.

What is the market size of the Bread Production industry in New Zealand in 2024?

The market size of the Bread Production industry in New Zealand is $839.2m in 2024.

How many businesses are there in the Bread Production in New Zealand industry in 2024?

There are 104 businesses in the Bread Production industry in New Zealand, which has grown at a CAGR of 2.3 % between 2019 and 2024.

Has the Bread Production industry in New Zealand grown or declined over the past 5 years?

The market size of the Bread Production industry in New Zealand has been declining at a CAGR of 4.0 % between 2019 and 2024.

What is the forecast growth of the Bread Production industry in New Zealand over the next 5 years?

Over the next five years, the Bread Production industry in New Zealand is expected to grow.

What are the biggest companies in the Bread Production market in New Zealand?

The biggest companies operating in the Bread Production market in New Zealand are Goodman Fielder, Allied Foods (NZ) and Yarrows (The Bakers) Limited

What does the Bread Production in New Zealand include?

White bread and rolls and Other bread and rolls are part of the Bread Production industry.

Which companies have the highest market share in the Bread Production in New Zealand?

The company holding the most market share in New Zealand is Goodman Fielder.

How competitive is the Bread Production industry in New Zealand?

The level of competition is high and increasing in the Bread Production industry in New Zealand.

Related Industries

Widen your competitive advantage with related industries

View all industries in New Zealand

Methodology

How are IBISWorld reports created?

IBISWorld has been a leading provider of trusted industry research for over 50 years to the most successful companies worldwide. With offices in Australia, the United States, the United Kingdom, Germany and China, we are proud to have local teams of analysts that conduct research, data analysis and forecasting to produce data-driven industry reports.

Our analysts start with official, verified and publicly available sources of data to build the most accurate picture of each industry. Analysts then leverage their expertise and knowledge of the local markets to synthesize trends into digestible content for IBISWorld readers. Finally, each report is reviewed by one of IBISWorld’s editors, who provide quality assurance to ensure accuracy and readability.

IBISWorld relies on human-verified data and human-written analysis to compile each standard industry report. We do not use generative AI tools to write insights, although members can choose to leverage AI-based tools within the platform to generate additional analysis formats.

What data sources do IBISWorld analysts use?

Each industry report incorporates data and research from government databases, industry-specific sources, industry contacts, and our own proprietary database of statistics and analysis to provide balanced, independent and accurate insights.

Key data sources in New Zealand include:

  • Statistics New Zealand
  • New Zealand Company Register
  • Ministry of Business, Innovation & Employment

Analysts also use industry specific sources to complement catch-all sources, although their perspective may focus on a particular organization or representative body, rather than a clear overview of all industry operations. However, when balanced against other perspectives, industry-specific sources provide insights into industry trends.

These sources include:

  • Industry and trade associations
  • Industry federations or regulators
  • Major industry players annual or quarterly filings

Finally, IBISWorld’s global data scientists maintain a proprietary database of macroeconomic and demand drivers, which our analysts use to help inform industry data and trends. They also maintain a database of statistics and analysis on thousands of industries, which has been built over our more than 50-year history and offers comprehensive insights into long-term trends.

How does IBISWorld forecast its data?

IBISWorld’s analysts and data scientists use the sources above to create forecasts for our proprietary datasets and industry statistics. Depending on the dataset, they may use regression analysis, multivariate analysis, time-series analysis or exponential smoothing techniques to project future data for the industry or driver. Additionally, analysts will leverage their local knowledge of industry operating and regulatory conditions to impart their best judgment on the forecast model.

IBISWorld prides itself on being a trusted, independent source of data, with over 50 years of experience building and maintaining rich datasets and forecasting tools. We are proud to be the keystone source of industry information for thousands of companies across the world.

Learn more about our methodology and data sourcing on the Help Center.