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Bakery Product Manufacturing in New Zealand - Market Research Report (2014-2029)

Kathrina Gonzales Kathrina Gonzales Melbourne, Australia Last Updated: May 2024 ANZSIC C1174NZ

Revenue

$1.0bn

2024-25

$1.0bn

Past 5-Year Growth

Profit

$XX.Xm

Employees

5,921

Businesses

977

Wages

$XXX.Xm

Bakery Product Manufacturing in New Zealand industry analysis

The Bakery Product Manufacturing industry has faced varied trading conditions. Growth in real household disposable income and rising health consciousness have supported demand for bakery products. Higher-income customers have increasingly purchased premium products that offer perceived health benefits. Growing preferences for high-quality ingredients and supporting local businesses have enriched the baking industry. Competition from factory-based baked goods manufacturers has intensified competition. Overall, revenue is expected to climb at an annualised 2.6% over the five years through 2024-25, to $1,013.2 million.

Trends and Insights

  • The Bakery Product Manufacturing industry has benefited from growing health consciousness and a preference for high-quality, locally sourced ingredients, boosting demand for premium bakery products. However, intensified competition from factory bread products and cost-of-living concerns limit revenue growth.
  • Bread demand rises as consumers increasingly choose loaves based on health consciousness and ethical considerations. Their growing awareness of social responsibility is significantly influencing their purchasing decisions.
  • Densely populated cities are home to a high proportion of franchises. The Cheesecake Shop and Bakers Delight house most of their franchises in the main cities.
  • The majority of companies employ franchising as a strategy for expansion. Franchises, operated by individual owners, maintain consistency in products and branding across locations.

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  • Market estimates from 2014-2029
  • Critical performance data and rankings
  • Detailed analysis of competitive forces and the external environment
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Industry Statistics and Trends

Market size and recent performance (2014-2029)

Industry revenue has grown at a CAGR of 2.6 % over the past five years, to reach an estimated $1.0bn in 2024.

Trends and Insights

Growing health awareness boosts demand for artisanal bakery products but poses a challenge for dessert manufacturers

  • Health consciousness has risen in recent years, prompting consumers to re-evaluate their consumption of foods with high sugar content and artificial preservatives, benefiting manufacturers.
  • Additional trends and insights available with purchase
Bakery Product Manufacturing in New Zealand
Revenue (2014-2029)
IBISWorld Logo Source: IBISWorld

Industry outlook (2024-2029)

Market size is projected to grow over the next five years.

Trends and Insights

Rising household income will shift demand to healthy and local products

  • Rising real household disposable income will benefit manufacturers, as consumer demand for high-value products will climb. This will limit the effects of price-based competition from external manufacturers.

Biggest companies in the Bakery Product Manufacturing in New Zealand

Company
Market Share (%)
2025
Revenue ($m)
2025
The Cheesecake Shop (NZ) Limited
30.4
Bakers Delight (NZ) Limited
20.3

To view the market share and analysis for all 2 top companies in this industry, view purchase options.

Products & Services Segmentation

Bakery Product Manufacturing in New Zealand
Products & Services
IBISWorld Logo Source: IBISWorld

Industry revenue is measured across several distinct product and services lines, including Breads, Cakes and Pastries and pies. Breads is the largest segment of the Bakery Product Manufacturing in New Zealand.

Trends and Insights

Demand for traditional bread declines amid growing preference for healthier, artisanal varieties

  • Bread is the most extensive product segment and includes loaves, Vienna bread, cobs, knots, high tops, plaits, bread sticks and rolls.
  • More insights available in the full report

Table of Contents

About this industry

Industry definition

Manufacturers bake and sell bread and other bakery products, like cakes and pastries, on the same premises. Most manufacturers are small-scale, like family-run bakeries and local hot-bread shops in small towns. The industry excludes bread and other baked products made in factories and cafe-style operations where food is served for on-premises consumption.

What's included in this industry?

BreadsCakesPastriesPiesPull-a-partsPizza rollsCroissantsSconesMuffinsTarts

Companies

The Cheesecake Shop (NZ) LimitedBakers Delight (NZ) Limited

Purchase this report to view all 2 major companies in this industry.

Related Terms

ARTISANAL BREADSCELEBRATORY CAKESFACTORY-BASED GLUTEN LOW GLYCEMIC INDEX (GI)NUTRIENT-DENSE FOODSPREMIUM BREADSFODMAP

Industry Code

ANZSIC 2006

ANZSIC 1174 - Bakery Product Manufacturing in New Zealand

Performance

Get an indication of the industry's health through historical, current and forward-looking trends in the performance indicators that make or break businesses.

Analyst insights

The Bakery Product Manufacturing industry has benefited from growing health consciousness and a preference for high-quality, locally sourced ingredients, boosting demand for p...

In this chapter (4)

  • Current Performance
  • Outlook
  • Volatility
  • Life Cycle

Key metrics

  • Annual Revenue, Recent Growth, Forecast, Revenue Volatility
  • Number of Employees, Recent Growth, Forecast, Employees per Business, Revenue per Employee
  • Number of Businesses, Recent Growth, Forecast, Employees per Business, Revenue per Business
  • Total Profit, Profit Margin, Profit per Business

Charts

  • Revenue, including historical (2014-2023) and forecast (2024-2029)
  • Employees, including historical (2014-2023) and forecast (2024-2029)
  • Businesses, including historical (2014-2023) and forecast (2024-2029)
  • Profit, including historical (2014-2024)
  • Industry Volatility vs. Revenue Growth
  • Industry Life Cycle

Detailed analysis

  • Trends in supply, demand and current events that are driving current industry performance
  • Expected trends, economic factors and ongoing events that drive the industry's outlook
  • Key success factors for businesses to overcome volatility
  • How contribution to GDP, industry saturation, innovation, consolidation, and technology and systems influence the industry's life cycle phase.

Products and Markets

Learn about an industry's products and services, markets and trends in international trade.

Analyst insight

Bread demand rises as consumers increasingly choose loaves based on health consciousness and ethical considerations. Their growing awareness of social responsibility is signi...

In this chapter

  • Products & Services
  • Major Markets

Key metrics

  • Largest market segment and value in 2024
  • Product innovation level

Charts

  • Products & services segmentation in 2024
  • Major market segmentation in 2024

Detailed analysis

  • Trends impacting the recent performance of the industry's various segments
  • Innovations in the industry's product or service offering, specialization or delivery method
  • Key factors that successful businesses consider in their offerings
  • Buying segments and key trends influencing demand for industry products and services

Geographic Breakdown

Discover where business activity is most concentrated in an industry and the factors driving these trends to find opportunities and conduct regional benchmarking.

Analyst insights

Densely populated cities are home to a high proportion of franchises. The Cheesecake Shop and Bakers Delight house most of their franchises in the main cities.

In this chapter (1)

  • Business Locations

Charts

  • Share of revenue, establishment, wages and employment in each region
  • Share of population compared to establishments in each region in 2024

Tables

  • Number and share of establishments in each region in 2024
  • Number and share of revenue each region accounts for in 2024
  • Number and share of wages each region accounts for in 2024
  • Number and share of employees in each region in 2024

Detailed analysis

  • Geographic spread of the industry across Asia Pacific, and trends associated with changes in the business landscape
  • Key success factors for businesses to use location to their advantage

Competitive Forces

Get data and insights on what's driving competition in an industry and the challenges industry operators and new entrants may face, with analysis built around Porter's Five Forces framework.

Analyst insights

The majority of companies employ franchising as a strategy for expansion. Franchises, operated by individual owners, maintain consistency in products and branding across loca...

In this chapter (4)

  • Concentration
  • Barriers to Entry
  • Substitutes
  • Buyer & Supplier Analysis

Key metrics

  • Industry concentration level
  • Industry competition level and trend
  • Barriers to entry level and trend
  • Substitutes level and trend
  • Buyer power level and trend
  • Supplier power level and trend

Charts

  • Market share concentration among the top 4 suppliers from 2019-2024
  • Supply chain including upstream supplying industries and downstream buying industries, flow chart

Detailed analysis

  • Factors impacting the industry’s level of concentration, such as business distribution, new entrants, or merger and acquisition activity.
  • Key success factors for businesses to manage the competitive environment of the industry.
  • Challenges that potential industry entrants face such as legal, start-up costs, differentiation, labor/capital intensity and capital expenses.
  • Key success factors for potential entrants to overcome barriers to entry.
  • Competitive threats from potential substitutes for the industry’s own products and services.
  • Key success factors for how successful businesses can compete with substitutes.
  • Advantages that buyers have to keep favorable purchasing conditions.
  • Advantages that suppliers have to maintain favorable selling conditions.
  • Key success factors for how businesses can navigate buyer and supplier power.

Companies

Learn about the performance of the top companies in the industry.

Analyst insights

The two biggest companies, The Cheesecake Shop and Bakers Delight, operate their business model through franchises. Franchises allow bakeries to expand their brand with minim...

In this chapter

  • Market Share Concentration
  • Companies
  • Company Spotlights

Charts

  • Industry market share by company in 2020 through 2024
  • Major companies in the industry, including market share, revenue, profit and profit margin in 2024
  • Overview of The Cheesecake Shop (NZ) Limited's performance by revenue, market share and profit margin from 2018 through 2024
  • Overview of Bakers Delight (NZ) Limited's performance by revenue, market share and profit margin from 2018 through 2024

Detailed analysis

  • Description and key data for The Cheesecake Shop (NZ) Limited, and factors influencing its performance in the industry
  • Description and key data for Bakers Delight (NZ) Limited, and factors influencing its performance in the industry

External Environment

Understand the demographic, economic and regulatory factors that shape how businesses in an industry perform.   

Analyst insights

FSANZ regulates food standards in New Zealand and Australia, while the industry also complies with the Wheat Industry Research Levies Act 1989. Manufacturers must also adhere...

In this chapter

  • External Drivers
  • Regulation & Policy
  • Assistance

Key metrics

  • Regulation & policy level and trend
  • Assistance level and trend

Charts

  • Regulation & Policy historical data and forecast (2014-2029) 
  • Assistance historical data and forecast (2014-2029) 

Detailed analysis

  • Demographic and macroeconomic factors influencing the industry, including Regulation & Policy and Assistance
  • Major types of regulations, regulatory bodies, industry standards or specific regulations impacting requirements for industry operators
  • Key governmental and non-governmental groups or policies that may provide some relief for industry operators.

Financial Benchmarks

View average costs for industry operators and compare financial data against an industry's financial benchmarks over time. 

Analyst insights

Profits are rising, driven by increasing consumer demand for healthy, fresh baked goods. Also, premium products catering to higher-income customers seeking health benefits ar...

In this chapter

  • Cost Structure
  • Financial Ratios
  • Key Ratios

Key metrics

  • Profit margin, and how it compares to the sector-wide margin
  • Average wages, and how it compares to the sector-wide average wage
  • Largest cost component as a percentage of revenue
  • Industry average ratios for days' receivables, industry coverage and debt-to-net-worth ratio

Charts

  • Average industry operating costs as a share of revenue, including purchases, wages, depreciation, utilities, rent, other costs and profit in 2024
  • Average sector operating costs as a share of revenue, including purchases, wages, depreciation, utilities, rent, other costs and profit in 2024
  • Investment vs. share of economy

Data tables

  • Cash Flow & Debt Service Ratios (2014-2029)
  • Revenue per Employee (2014-2029)
  • Revenue per Enterprise (2014-2029)
  • Employees per Establishment (2014-2029)
  • Employees per Enterprise (2014-2029)
  • Average Wage (2014-2029)
  • Wages/Revenue (2014-2029)
  • Establishments per Enterprise (2014-2029)
  • IVA/Revenue (2014-2029)
  • Imports/Demand (2014-2029)
  • Exports/Revenue (2014-2029)

Detailed analysis

  • Trends in the cost component for industry operators and their impact on industry costs and profitability 

Key Statistics

Industry Data

Data Tables

Including values and annual change:

  • Revenue (2014-2029)
  • IVA (2014-2029)
  • Establishments (2014-2029)
  • Enterprises (2014-2029)
  • Employment (2014-2029)
  • Exports (2014-2029)
  • Imports (2014-2029)
  • Wages (2014-2029)

Top Questions Answered

Unlock comprehensive answers and precise data upon purchase. View purchase options.

What is the market size of the Bakery Product Manufacturing industry in New Zealand in 2024?

The market size of the Bakery Product Manufacturing industry in New Zealand is $1.0bn in 2024.

How many businesses are there in the Bakery Product Manufacturing in New Zealand industry in 2024?

There are 977 businesses in the Bakery Product Manufacturing industry in New Zealand, which has declined at a CAGR of 4.5 % between 2019 and 2024.

Has the Bakery Product Manufacturing industry in New Zealand grown or declined over the past 5 years?

The market size of the Bakery Product Manufacturing industry in New Zealand has been growing at a CAGR of 2.6 % between 2019 and 2024.

What is the forecast growth of the Bakery Product Manufacturing industry in New Zealand over the next 5 years?

Over the next five years, the Bakery Product Manufacturing industry in New Zealand is expected to grow.

What are the biggest companies in the Bakery Product Manufacturing market in New Zealand?

The biggest companies operating in the Bakery Product Manufacturing market in New Zealand are The Cheesecake Shop (NZ) Limited and Bakers Delight (NZ) Limited

What does the Bakery Product Manufacturing in New Zealand include?

Breads and Cakes are part of the Bakery Product Manufacturing industry.

Which companies have the highest market share in the Bakery Product Manufacturing in New Zealand?

The company holding the most market share in New Zealand is The Cheesecake Shop (NZ) Limited.

How competitive is the Bakery Product Manufacturing industry in New Zealand?

The level of competition is high and increasing in the Bakery Product Manufacturing industry in New Zealand.

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Methodology

How are IBISWorld reports created?

IBISWorld has been a leading provider of trusted industry research for over 50 years to the most successful companies worldwide. With offices in Australia, the United States, the United Kingdom, Germany and China, we are proud to have local teams of analysts that conduct research, data analysis and forecasting to produce data-driven industry reports.

Our analysts start with official, verified and publicly available sources of data to build the most accurate picture of each industry. Analysts then leverage their expertise and knowledge of the local markets to synthesize trends into digestible content for IBISWorld readers. Finally, each report is reviewed by one of IBISWorld’s editors, who provide quality assurance to ensure accuracy and readability.

IBISWorld relies on human-verified data and human-written analysis to compile each standard industry report. We do not use generative AI tools to write insights, although members can choose to leverage AI-based tools within the platform to generate additional analysis formats.

What data sources do IBISWorld analysts use?

Each industry report incorporates data and research from government databases, industry-specific sources, industry contacts, and our own proprietary database of statistics and analysis to provide balanced, independent and accurate insights.

Key data sources in New Zealand include:

  • Statistics New Zealand
  • New Zealand Company Register
  • Ministry of Business, Innovation & Employment

Analysts also use industry specific sources to complement catch-all sources, although their perspective may focus on a particular organization or representative body, rather than a clear overview of all industry operations. However, when balanced against other perspectives, industry-specific sources provide insights into industry trends.

These sources include:

  • Industry and trade associations
  • Industry federations or regulators
  • Major industry players annual or quarterly filings

Finally, IBISWorld’s global data scientists maintain a proprietary database of macroeconomic and demand drivers, which our analysts use to help inform industry data and trends. They also maintain a database of statistics and analysis on thousands of industries, which has been built over our more than 50-year history and offers comprehensive insights into long-term trends.

How does IBISWorld forecast its data?

IBISWorld’s analysts and data scientists use the sources above to create forecasts for our proprietary datasets and industry statistics. Depending on the dataset, they may use regression analysis, multivariate analysis, time-series analysis or exponential smoothing techniques to project future data for the industry or driver. Additionally, analysts will leverage their local knowledge of industry operating and regulatory conditions to impart their best judgment on the forecast model.

IBISWorld prides itself on being a trusted, independent source of data, with over 50 years of experience building and maintaining rich datasets and forecasting tools. We are proud to be the keystone source of industry information for thousands of companies across the world.

Learn more about our methodology and data sourcing on the Help Center.