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Aluminum Smelting in China - Market Research Report (2014-2029)

IBISWorld IBISWorld Beijing, China Last Updated: November 2024 3316

Revenue

$121.9bn

2024

$131.3bn

Past 5-Year Growth

Profit

$X.Xbn

Employees

318k

Businesses

330

Wages

$X.Xbn

Aluminum Smelting in China industry analysis

Revenue for the Aluminum Smelting industry in China is expected to increase at an annualized 2.6% over the five years through 2022, to $121.9 billion. In 2021, China produced about 38.9 million tons of primary aluminum and consumed about 40.5 million tons, up 4.3% and 5.7% year on year, accounting for about 57.4% and 58.6% of global production and consumption, respectively. As a basic metal, aluminum has a variety of applications in a range of industries. Downstream markets for aluminum include the Building Construction (IBISWorld industry report 4710), Automobile Manufacturing (3721), Power Grid Construction (4725) and packaging material industries. These downstream industries have been supported by China's booming economy and rising urbanization, boosting demand for aluminum.Aluminum-related industries have developed rapidly over the past three decades due to strongly rising downstream demand for aluminum products. Output of alumina, the major material for primary aluminum, has increased from 3.3 million tons in 1998 to 77.5 million tons in 2021 due to the Aluminum Smelting industry's major players expanding output capacity and new players entering the industry. Output of primary aluminum, the basic material for various aluminum products, increased from 2.6 million tons in 1999 to 38.9 million tons in 2021.Rapid industry expansion and greater capacity has led to supply exceeding demand from downstream industries over the past five years. This oversupply has contributed to primary aluminum prices increasing at a slower rate compared with those of other basic metals. Additionally, industry firms have faced increasing power prices, macroeconomic regulatory measures and raw material costs. As a result, industry profitability has been weak over the past five years. Industry revenue is anticipated to increase by 4.0% in the current year.Industry revenue is forecast to grow at an annualized 3.6% over the five years through 2027, to $145.8 billion. Profit margins for aluminum product manufacturers will likely continue to be slim or non-existent over the next five years due to rising raw material prices. However, some companies are anticipated to implement measures, such as reducing electricity and raw material consumption, to reduce operational costs. In addition, increasingly advanced technology and production equipment are projected to improve productivity and efficiency over the next five years.

Trends and Insights

  • The preferential tariff is cancelled. The government has scrapped a policy that gave manufacturers preferential electricity prices, reducing profit margins.
  • Primary aluminum is the industry's largest product segment. Many downstream markets such as construction, construction, real estate and machinery manufacturing industries are growing rapidly, which stimulates the demand for primary aluminum.
  • The northwest region accounts for a higher proportion. China's primary aluminum production capacity is shifting from the central and southern regions to Xinjiang and Gansu in the northwest, mainly due to low electricity prices in these regions.
  • Access to raw materials is important. China's bauxite resources depend on imported aluminum ore. Aluminum smelting enterprises that control bauxite resources can obtain a stable supply of raw materials at a low price.

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Industry Statistics and Trends

Market size and recent performance (2014-2029)

Industry revenue has grown at a CAGR of 2.6 % over the past five years, to reach an estimated $121.9bn in 2024.

Trends and Insights

Aluminum Smelting in China
Revenue (2014-2029)
IBISWorld Logo Source: IBISWorld

Industry outlook (2024-2029)

Market size is projected to grow over the next five years.

Trends and Insights

Biggest companies in the Aluminum Smelting in China

Company
Market Share (%)
2022
Revenue ($short_0)
2022

There are no companies that hold a large enough market share in the Aluminum Smelting in China industry for IBISWorld to include in this product.

Products & Services Segmentation

Aluminum Smelting in China
Products & Services
IBISWorld Logo Source: IBISWorld

Industry revenue is measured across several distinct product and services lines, including Alumina, Primary aluminum and Others. Alumina is the largest segment of the Aluminum Smelting in China.

Trends and Insights

Table of Contents

About this industry

Industry definition

Companies in the Aluminum Smelting industry in China refine aluminum through the smelting, electrolysis, and repeal casting of bauxite and alumina. Industry firms also smelt recycled aluminum. Aluminum product manufacturing, such as for aluminum packaging, aluminum doors and windows, spare parts and similar items is not included in the industry.

What's included in this industry?

Primary aluminum smeltingAlumina processingPrimary aluminum alloy processingAluminum ore processingSecondary aluminum processing

Companies

Purchase this report to view all major companies in this industry.

Related Terms

BAUXITEALUMINAPRIMARY ALUMINUM

Performance

Get an indication of the industry's health through historical, current and forward-looking trends in the performance indicators that make or break businesses.

Analyst insights

The preferential tariff is cancelled. The government has scrapped a policy that gave manufacturers preferential electricity prices, reducing profit margins.

In this chapter (4)

  • Current Performance
  • Outlook
  • Volatility
  • Life Cycle

Key metrics

  • Annual Revenue, Recent Growth, Forecast, Revenue Volatility
  • Number of Employees, Recent Growth, Forecast, Employees per Business, Revenue per Employee
  • Number of Businesses, Recent Growth, Forecast, Employees per Business, Revenue per Business
  • Total Profit, Profit Margin, Profit per Business

Charts

  • Revenue, including historical (2014-2023) and forecast (2024-2029)
  • Employees, including historical (2014-2023) and forecast (2024-2029)
  • Businesses, including historical (2014-2023) and forecast (2024-2029)
  • Profit, including historical (2014-2024)
  • Industry Volatility vs. Revenue Growth
  • Industry Life Cycle

Detailed analysis

  • Trends in supply, demand and current events that are driving current industry performance
  • Expected trends, economic factors and ongoing events that drive the industry's outlook
  • Key success factors for businesses to overcome volatility
  • How contribution to GDP, industry saturation, innovation, consolidation, and technology and systems influence the industry's life cycle phase.

Products and Markets

Learn about an industry's products and services, markets and trends in international trade.

Analyst insight

Primary aluminum is the industry's largest product segment. Many downstream markets such as construction, construction, real estate and machinery manufacturing industries are...

In this chapter

  • Products & Services
  • Major Markets
  • International Trade

Key metrics

  • Largest market segment and value in 2024
  • Product innovation level
  • Total imports, level and trend
  • Total exports, level and trend
  • Trade Balance

Charts

  • Products & services segmentation in 2024
  • Major market segmentation in 2024
  • International trade, including imports by country and exports by country

Detailed analysis

  • Trends impacting the recent performance of the industry's various segments
  • Innovations in the industry's product or service offering, specialization or delivery method
  • Key factors that successful businesses consider in their offerings
  • Buying segments and key trends influencing demand for industry products and services
  • Recent trends in import and export volumes, country of origin or destination, and expected future trends

Geographic Breakdown

Discover where business activity is most concentrated in an industry and the factors driving these trends to find opportunities and conduct regional benchmarking.

Analyst insights

The northwest region accounts for a higher proportion. China's primary aluminum production capacity is shifting from the central and southern regions to Xinjiang and Gansu in...

In this chapter (1)

  • Business Locations

Charts

  • Share of revenue, establishment, wages and employment in each region
  • Share of population compared to establishments in each region in 2024

Tables

  • Number and share of establishments in each region in 2024
  • Number and share of revenue each region accounts for in 2024
  • Number and share of wages each region accounts for in 2024
  • Number and share of employees in each region in 2024

Detailed analysis

  • Geographic spread of the industry across Asia Pacific, and trends associated with changes in the business landscape
  • Key success factors for businesses to use location to their advantage

Competitive Forces

Get data and insights on what's driving competition in an industry and the challenges industry operators and new entrants may face, with analysis built around Porter's Five Forces framework.

Analyst insights

Access to raw materials is important. China's bauxite resources depend on imported aluminum ore. Aluminum smelting enterprises that control bauxite resources can obtain a sta...

In this chapter (4)

  • Concentration
  • Barriers to Entry
  • Substitutes
  • Buyer & Supplier Analysis

Key metrics

  • Industry concentration level
  • Industry competition level and trend
  • Barriers to entry level and trend
  • Substitutes level and trend
  • Buyer power level and trend
  • Supplier power level and trend

Charts

  • Market share concentration among the top 4 suppliers from 2019-2024
  • Supply chain including upstream supplying industries and downstream buying industries, flow chart

Detailed analysis

  • Factors impacting the industry’s level of concentration, such as business distribution, new entrants, or merger and acquisition activity.
  • Key success factors for businesses to manage the competitive environment of the industry.
  • Challenges that potential industry entrants face such as legal, start-up costs, differentiation, labor/capital intensity and capital expenses.
  • Key success factors for potential entrants to overcome barriers to entry.
  • Competitive threats from potential substitutes for the industry’s own products and services.
  • Key success factors for how successful businesses can compete with substitutes.
  • Advantages that buyers have to keep favorable purchasing conditions.
  • Advantages that suppliers have to maintain favorable selling conditions.
  • Key success factors for how businesses can navigate buyer and supplier power.

Companies

Learn about the performance of the top companies in the industry.

Analyst insights

The industrial chain has obvious advantages. Most of the enterprises in the industry have bauxite resources at home and abroad to ensure the sustainable development of the in...

In this chapter

  • Market Share Concentration
  • Companies
  • Company Spotlights

Charts

  • Industry market share by company in 2020 through 2024
  • Major companies in the industry, including market share, revenue, profit and profit margin in 2024

Detailed analysis

    External Environment

    Understand the demographic, economic and regulatory factors that shape how businesses in an industry perform.   

    Analyst insights

    Construction companies are more important to promote the industry. Aluminium demand accounts for more than 30 per cent of the industry's revenues. Growing demand from constru...

    In this chapter

    • External Drivers
    • Regulation & Policy
    • Assistance

    Key metrics

    • Regulation & policy level and trend
    • Assistance level and trend

    Charts

    • Regulation & Policy historical data and forecast (2014-2029) 
    • Assistance historical data and forecast (2014-2029) 

    Detailed analysis

    • Demographic and macroeconomic factors influencing the industry, including Regulation & Policy and Assistance
    • Major types of regulations, regulatory bodies, industry standards or specific regulations impacting requirements for industry operators
    • Key governmental and non-governmental groups or policies that may provide some relief for industry operators.

    Financial Benchmarks

    View average costs for industry operators and compare financial data against an industry's financial benchmarks over time. 

    Analyst insights

    Wages have become a bigger share of income. Due to the improvement of technology, the demand for high-tech talents becomes more and more, so the proportion of wages becomes h...

    In this chapter

    • Cost Structure
    • Financial Ratios
    • Key Ratios

    Key metrics

    • Profit margin, and how it compares to the sector-wide margin
    • Average wages, and how it compares to the sector-wide average wage
    • Largest cost component as a percentage of revenue
    • Industry average ratios for days' receivables, industry coverage and debt-to-net-worth ratio

    Charts

    • Average industry operating costs as a share of revenue, including purchases, wages, depreciation, utilities, rent, other costs and profit in 2024
    • Average sector operating costs as a share of revenue, including purchases, wages, depreciation, utilities, rent, other costs and profit in 2024
    • Investment vs. share of economy

    Data tables

    • Cash Flow & Debt Service Ratios (2014-2029)
    • Revenue per Employee (2014-2029)
    • Revenue per Enterprise (2014-2029)
    • Employees per Establishment (2014-2029)
    • Employees per Enterprise (2014-2029)
    • Average Wage (2014-2029)
    • Wages/Revenue (2014-2029)
    • Establishments per Enterprise (2014-2029)
    • IVA/Revenue (2014-2029)
    • Imports/Demand (2014-2029)
    • Exports/Revenue (2014-2029)

    Detailed analysis

    • Trends in the cost component for industry operators and their impact on industry costs and profitability 

    Key Statistics

    Industry Data

    Data Tables

    Including values and annual change:

    • Revenue (2014-2029)
    • IVA (2014-2029)
    • Establishments (2014-2029)
    • Enterprises (2014-2029)
    • Employment (2014-2029)
    • Exports (2014-2029)
    • Imports (2014-2029)
    • Wages (2014-2029)

    Top Questions Answered

    Unlock comprehensive answers and precise data upon purchase. View purchase options.

    What is the market size of the Aluminum Smelting industry in China in 2024?

    The market size of the Aluminum Smelting industry in China is $121.9bn in 2024.

    How many businesses are there in the Aluminum Smelting in China industry in 2024?

    There are 330 businesses in the Aluminum Smelting industry in China, which has grown at a CAGR of 2.0 % between 2019 and 2024.

    Has the Aluminum Smelting industry in China grown or declined over the past 5 years?

    The market size of the Aluminum Smelting industry in China has been growing at a CAGR of 2.6 % between 2019 and 2024.

    What is the forecast growth of the Aluminum Smelting industry in China over the next 5 years?

    Over the next five years, the Aluminum Smelting industry in China is expected to grow.

    What does the Aluminum Smelting in China include?

    Primary aluminum smelting and Alumina processing are part of the Aluminum Smelting industry.

    How competitive is the Aluminum Smelting industry in China?

    The level of competition is moderate and increasing in the Aluminum Smelting industry in China.

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    Competitors

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    Methodology

    How are IBISWorld reports created?

    IBISWorld has been a leading provider of trusted industry research for over 50 years to the most successful companies worldwide. With offices in Australia, the United States, the United Kingdom, Germany and China, we are proud to have local teams of analysts that conduct research, data analysis and forecasting to produce data-driven industry reports.

    Our analysts start with official, verified and publicly available sources of data to build the most accurate picture of each industry. Analysts then leverage their expertise and knowledge of the local markets to synthesize trends into digestible content for IBISWorld readers. Finally, each report is reviewed by one of IBISWorld’s editors, who provide quality assurance to ensure accuracy and readability.

    IBISWorld relies on human-verified data and human-written analysis to compile each standard industry report. We do not use generative AI tools to write insights, although members can choose to leverage AI-based tools within the platform to generate additional analysis formats.

    What data sources do IBISWorld analysts use?

    Each industry report incorporates data and research from government databases, industry-specific sources, industry contacts, and our own proprietary database of statistics and analysis to provide balanced, independent and accurate insights.

    Key data sources in China include:

    • National Bureau of Statistics China
    • General Administration of Customs
    • People’s Bank of China

    Analysts also use industry specific sources to complement catch-all sources, although their perspective may focus on a particular organization or representative body, rather than a clear overview of all industry operations. However, when balanced against other perspectives, industry-specific sources provide insights into industry trends.

    These sources include:

    • Industry and trade associations
    • Industry federations or regulators
    • Major industry players annual or quarterly filings

    Finally, IBISWorld’s global data scientists maintain a proprietary database of macroeconomic and demand drivers, which our analysts use to help inform industry data and trends. They also maintain a database of statistics and analysis on thousands of industries, which has been built over our more than 50-year history and offers comprehensive insights into long-term trends.

    How does IBISWorld forecast its data?

    IBISWorld’s analysts and data scientists use the sources above to create forecasts for our proprietary datasets and industry statistics. Depending on the dataset, they may use regression analysis, multivariate analysis, time-series analysis or exponential smoothing techniques to project future data for the industry or driver. Additionally, analysts will leverage their local knowledge of industry operating and regulatory conditions to impart their best judgment on the forecast model.

    IBISWorld prides itself on being a trusted, independent source of data, with over 50 years of experience building and maintaining rich datasets and forecasting tools. We are proud to be the keystone source of industry information for thousands of companies across the world.

    Learn more about our methodology and data sourcing on the Help Center.