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Has COVID-19 Accelerated the Formation of a European Super League for Football Clubs?

Has COVID-19 Accelerated the Formation of a European Super League for Football Clubs?

Written by

Jacob Lang

Jacob Lang
Industry Research Analyst Published 21 Dec 2022 Read time: 5

Published on

21 Dec 2022

Read time

5 minutes

Key Takeaways

  • A 91% fall in European league attendances over 2020-21 led to transfer spending dropping by over 40% in the 2021 summer transfer window
  • Just three clubs out of 32 ‘European Elite’ clubs remained profitable over the two seasons worst-hit by the pandemic, while FC Barcelona recorded the greatest operating loss in football history
  • The English Premier League spent approximately €2.2 billion on transfer fees in the 2022 summer window – roughly equal to the top divisions in France, Germany, Italy and Spain combined

The football world stopped dead in its tracks in March 2020 as COVID-19 swept from country to country. European league attendances tanked by 91% over the following 2020-21 season, with gate receipts dropping from 12% of revenue to just 2%. The pandemic wreaked havoc on the finances of clubs across Europe, reflected by transfer expenditure falling off a cliff over the 2021 summer transfer window, down 41% on 2019.

To manage the shortfall in revenue, LaLiga (Spain) and Ligue 1 (France), agreed deals with CVC Capital Partners for respective 8.2% and 13% shares in the league’s media rights. Some clubs turned to cash reserves, while others renegotiated short term liabilities into long term liabilities to meet their financial obligations.

Out of the 32 ‘European Elite’ clubs, only three returned profits in both 2019-20 and 2020-21, according to Football Benchmark.

Spanish giant, FC Barcelona, recorded a combined operating loss of €605 million (£521.6 million) over the two years, including €505 million (£435.4 million) in 2020-21, making it the largest loss in football history.

FC Barcelona’s financial turmoil

FC Barcelona became the first club to surpass €1 billion (£860 million) in revenue in 2018-19. So, how did such a successful club find itself in financial disarray? A history of poor decision making and presidential turnover coincided with the pandemic, created the perfect storm culminating in over €1 billion (£860 million) of debt.

Not all debt is bad debt – the nature of the debt paints a more accurate picture than its size. A considerable share of FC Barcelona’s debt was short term liabilities - over €100 million (£86 million) in transfer fees and €266 million (£229.3 million) in bank loans due in the near future. This prompted club president, Joan Laporta, to announce the club was “clinically dead” in March 2021. By August 2021, the club had amassed €1.3 billion (£1.1 billion) in debt and its sports costs to income ratio reached 103% - having been just 61% in 2016-17.

LaLiga operates a squad cost limit (SCL). The amount each club can spend on their squad is found by taking operating expenses and debt repayments away from revenue. Unlike most financial rulings, the SCL is proactive, meaning clubs can’t register new players if they exceed the set limit.

With the club’s finances hit by COVID-19 and debt repayments, FC Barcelona eagerly signed a lucrative shirt and stadium sponsorship deal with Spotify, in March 2022, worth approximately €280 million (£240 million). Despite this, FC Barcelona remained €144 million (£124 million) over its SCL in summer 2022.

FC Barcelona activated its palancas (financial levers), selling 25% of its LaLiga broadcasting revenue for the next 25 years to Sixth Street and 10% of Barca Studios broadcasting revenue to Socios.com for €110 million (£94.8 million). The palancas saved the club from bankruptcy and helped build a competitive squad.

However, the club essentially bet its future on the establishment of a European Super League (ESL). The club remains at an operating deficit of €200 million (£172 million) due to its enormous wage costs. Joining the ESL – where founding members would receive a €1 billion bonus – would resolve the club’s financial woes in an instant.

Nevertheless, a so-called ‘super league’ appears to have already emerged out of the financial storm induced by COVID-19 – the English Premier League (EPL).

Broadcasting money machine – the EPL

Propped up by its highly remunerative broadcasting rights deals, English clubs were involved in 42% of the total value of global transfers during the 2021 summer window. The EPL was the only one out of the ten largest markets to exceed 70% of 2019 spending levels, as per the figures presented in Deloitte’s Annual Review of Football Finance 2022.

In 2022-23, a new three-cycle of broadcasting rights began.

While other leagues agreed to discounted deals, the EPL carried over its domestic package and secured a 30% rise to the value of its international packages.

The Times reported that the domestic package would be worth £5.1 billion and the international package would hit £5.3 billion. The EPL’s total broadcasting revenue is projected to exceed LaLiga’s and the Bundesliga’s put together, reflecting the sheer enormity of the league’s popularity.

In summer 2022, after a full season with fans and on the back of the new broadcasting deal, EPL clubs spent €2.2 billion (£1.9 billion) on transfer fees, surpassing its previous record (2017-18) by approximately £500 million. For comparison, this roughly equaled the collective spending of the four other biggest leagues – LaLiga (€516 million), Bundesliga (€489 million), Seria A (€756 million) and Ligue 1 (€566 million).

Based on enterprise value, 10 out of the 32 European Elite clubs play their football in the EPL, according to Football Benchmark.

The EPL is striding away from the rest of the top European leagues and its new broadcasting deals will only add to the distance.

The takeover of Newcastle United by Saudi Arabia’s Public Investment Fund and the sporting momentum achieved by head coach Eddie Howe will help the club break into the European Elite by 2023-24.

Further, the country’s two most successful clubs, Liverpool and Manchester United, are both for sale. New ownership for Liverpool would likely see a shift away from the club’s sell-to-buy regime whereas for Manchester United it would see much needed investment in the club’s facilities, boosting the competitiveness of both clubs. Europe’s first super league is here already and looks set to stay.

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